2024 National Multi-Candidate
This Day In History - Final RCP Average: TDIH - Final RCP Average: 2020: Biden +7.2, Results: Biden +4.5 | 2016: Clinton +3.2, Results: Clinton +2.1
| pollster | date | Trump (R) | Harris (D) | Stein (G) | Kennedy (I) | Oliver (L) | West (I) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 49.8 | 48.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | Trump+1.5 |
| RCP Average | 10/14 - 11/4 | 47.3 | 47.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Trump+0.1 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| TIPP | 11/2 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | 1 | — | — | 1 | Trump+1 |
| NBC News | 10/30 - 11/2 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 10/30 - 11/2 | 48 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 2 | Harris+1 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 10/29 - 11/1 | 46 | 49 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Yahoo News | 10/29 - 10/31 | 48 | 48 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Tie |
| Daily Mail | 10/26 - 10/29 | 49 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/26 - 10/29 | 47 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/20 - 10/23 | 47 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| CNN | 10/20 - 10/23 | 47 | 47 | 1 | — | 2 | — | Tie |
| Wall Street Journal | 10/19 - 10/22 | 47 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 10/14 - 10/18 | 44 | 45 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+1 |
2024 Post-Election Polling Analysis
Why Many Were Correct in Thinking Trump Would Run Away With Electoral College Ken Bensinger & Kaleigh Rogers, New York Times
How America’s Accurate Election Polls Were Suppressed in Front of the Election Matt Tabblit, Racket News
What is Behind the Simmering Information War on Polling Salena Zito, Washington Examiner
Final Results
Poll Data
| pollster | date | Trump (R) | Harris (D) | Stein (G) | Kennedy (I) | Oliver (L) | West (I) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | — | 49.8 | 48.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | Trump+1.5 |
| RCP Average | 10/14 - 11/4 | 47.3 | 47.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Trump+0.1 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| TIPP | 11/2 - 11/4 | 49 | 48 | 1 | — | — | 1 | Trump+1 |
| NBC News | 10/30 - 11/2 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| Atlas Intel | 11/1 - 11/2 | 49 | 47 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Trump+2 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 10/30 - 11/2 | 48 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 2 | Harris+1 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 10/29 - 11/1 | 46 | 49 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Atlas Intel | 10/30 - 10/31 | 49 | 47 | 1 | — | 0 | — | Trump+2 |
| Yahoo News | 10/29 - 10/31 | 48 | 48 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Tie |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 10/27 - 10/29 | 48 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 2 | Harris+1 |
| Daily Mail | 10/26 - 10/29 | 49 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/26 - 10/29 | 47 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Atlas Intel | 10/25 - 10/29 | 50 | 47 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | Trump+3 |
| NY Times/Siena | 10/20 - 10/23 | 47 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| CNN | 10/20 - 10/23 | 47 | 47 | 1 | — | 2 | — | Tie |
| Wall Street Journal | 10/19 - 10/22 | 47 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 10/18 - 10/22 | 47 | 51 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | Harris+4 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 10/20 - 10/21 | 49 | 48 | 0 | — | — | 2 | Trump+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/19 - 10/22 | 46 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+3 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 10/14 - 10/18 | 44 | 45 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+1 |
| Atlas Intel | 10/12 - 10/17 | 51 | 48 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | Trump+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/12 - 10/15 | 45 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+4 |
| Harvard-Harris | 10/11 - 10/13 | 48 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 1 | Harris+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 10/6 - 10/7 | 45 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+4 |
| NBC News | 10/4 - 10/8 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 10/4 - 10/8 | 48 | 50 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Marquette | 10/1 - 10/10 | 41 | 44 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Harris+3 |
| Pew Research | 9/30 - 10/6 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Harris+1 |
| Yahoo News | 10/2 - 10/4 | 47 | 47 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Tie |
| I&I/TIPP | 10/2 - 10/4 | 45 | 48 | 0 | 2 | — | 0 | Harris+3 |
| NY Times/Siena | 9/29 - 10/6 | 44 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 9/29 - 10/1 | 46 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 9/21 - 9/24 | 46 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Quinnipiac | 9/19 - 9/22 | 48 | 47 | 1 | — | 1 | — | Trump+1 |
| CNN | 9/19 - 9/22 | 47 | 48 | 1 | — | 2 | — | Harris+1 |
| NBC News | 9/13 - 9/17 | 41 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Harris+6 |
| NY Times/Siena | 9/11 - 9/16 | 46 | 46 | 2 | — | 2 | 0 | Tie |
| Economist/YouGov | 9/15 - 9/17 | 45 | 49 | 0 | — | — | 1 | Harris+4 |
| GWU/HarrisX | 9/14 - 9/16 | 45 | 50 | 2 | — | — | 3 | Harris+5 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 9/11 - 9/13 | 46 | 50 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+4 |
| Atlas Intel | 9/11 - 9/12 | 51 | 47 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | Trump+4 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 9/11 - 9/13 | 47 | 50 | 1 | — | — | 2 | Harris+3 |
| Yahoo News | 9/11 - 9/13 | 45 | 49 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+4 |
| TIPP | 9/11 - 9/13 | 41 | 45 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | Harris+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 9/8 - 9/10 | 45 | 45 | 1 | — | — | 1 | Tie |
| NY Times/Siena | 9/3 - 9/6 | 47 | 45 | 1 | — | 2 | — | Trump+2 |
| Harvard-Harris | 9/4 - 9/5 | 49 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 1 | Tie |
| Economist/YouGov | 9/1 - 9/3 | 45 | 47 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| I&I/TIPP | 8/28 - 8/30 | 43 | 47 | 1 | 4 | — | 0 | Harris+4 |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 8/25 - 8/28 | 43 | 48 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | Harris+5 |
| Wall Street Journal | 8/24 - 8/28 | 45 | 47 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+2 |
| Economist/YouGov | 8/25 - 8/27 | 45 | 47 | 1 | — | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/23 - 8/27 | 47 | 49 | 1 | — | 1 | — | Harris+2 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 8/23 - 8/27 | 45 | 50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | Harris+5 |
| Yahoo News | 8/22 - 8/26 | 45 | 46 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | Harris+1 |
| Reuters/Ipsos | 8/21 - 8/28 | 40 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Harris+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 8/17 - 8/20 | 43 | 46 | 0 | 3 | — | 0 | Harris+3 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/15 - 8/21 | 47 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| CBS News | 8/14 - 8/16 | 47 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/8 - 8/14 | 48 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Trump+4 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 8/9 - 8/13 | 44 | 47 | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | Harris+3 |
| Emerson | 8/12 - 8/14 | 44 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Harris+4 |
| FOX News | 8/9 - 8/12 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Tie |
| Economist/YouGov | 8/11 - 8/13 | 44 | 46 | 1 | 3 | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Data for Progress (D)** | 8/1 - 8/15 | 43 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | Harris+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 8/4 - 8/6 | 43 | 45 | 1 | 2 | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 8/1 - 8/7 | 49 | 44 | 0 | 3 | — | 1 | Trump+5 |
| HarrisX | 8/2 - 8/3 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 9 | — | 1 | Harris+1 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 8/1 - 8/4 | 45 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Harris+3 |
| I&I/TIPP | 7/31 - 8/2 | 42 | 44 | 1 | 7 | — | 1 | Harris+2 |
| CBS News | 7/30 - 8/2 | 47 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Marquette | 7/24 - 8/1 | 41 | 47 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | Harris+6 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/24 - 7/31 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/27 - 7/30 | 44 | 46 | 0 | 3 | — | 0 | Harris+2 |
| Harvard-Harris | 7/26 - 7/28 | 47 | 43 | 1 | 8 | — | 1 | Trump+4 |
| Wall Street Journal | 7/23 - 7/25 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | Harris+1 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 7/22 - 7/25 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 10 | — | 1 | Tie |
| NY Times/Siena | 7/22 - 7/24 | 43 | 44 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Harris+1 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/22 - 7/24 | 49 | 42 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | Trump+7 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 7/22 - 7/22 | 42 | 42 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | Tie |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/21 - 7/23 | 44 | 41 | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | Trump+3 |
| Yahoo News | 7/19 - 7/22 | 43 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/19 - 7/21 | 45 | 41 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Trump+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/13 - 7/16 | 44 | 39 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | Trump+5 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/7 - 7/9 | 42 | 38 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | Trump+4 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 6/28 - 6/30 | 43 | 38 | 2 | 16 | — | 2 | Trump+5 |
Political News & Analysis
A Tale of Two Sanctuary CitiesBy the author name Susan Crabtree
"Bond Market Death Spiral" Vance Feared Would Be "Devastating" to TrumpBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Paying the Cost for Investigating Tax Cheat Hunter BidenBy the author name Nancy Rommelmann
Trump's 'First Term Energy'By the author name Waters & Liddell
Retribution: Sen. Eric Schmitt Believes Censors Are 'On the Run'By the author name Philip Wegmann
Reversal of Fortune in Homer City: New Project a 'Game Changer'By the author name Salena Zito
Wisconsin Voter ID Win Buoys California GOP ActivistsBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Revealed: Social-Media Millions That Couldn't Sync 'Brat' With 'Democrat'By the author name Lee Fang
Ruy Teixeira Seeks To 'De-Brahminize' the LeftBy the author name Peter Berkowitz
America Gets Even: Trump Launches 'Reciprocal Tariffs'By the author name Philip Wegmann
Interview With Elon Musk and the DOGE TeamBy the author name Bret Baier
Democrats Talk Change, Few Seem Willing To Make a LeapBy the author name Holly Otterbein
Americans Who Think We're on the Right Track 'Through The Roof'By the author name Harry Enten
McMahon Threatens Newsom Over Transgender AthletesBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Soda Wars: Inside "Pay-To-Post" Campaign Pitting MAGA Against MAHABy the author name Philip Wegmann
With Record Low Approval, How Can Democrats Recover?By the author name Mark Penn
Why the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Matters for National PoliticsBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
How Los Angeles Is Getting Scorched by Its Homeless ProblemBy the author name Ana Kasparian
Injunction Dysfunction? Trump-Era Judicial Paralysis ExplainedBy the author name Ben Weingarten
Trump Delivers on Reagan's Promise To Dismantle Education DepartmentBy the author name Philip Wegmann
The Only Thing That Will Save Democrats in Age of TrumpBy the author name Mark Penn
Inside and Outside Senate, Democrats Begin To Lose Faith in SchumerBy the author name Dovere & Grayer
Trump Pollster: Tudor Dixon Leads Mike Rogers Among Michigan BaseBy the author name Philip Wegmann
How Biden's Record Crippled the Harris CampaignBy the author name Amie Parnes
A New Beltway Mystery: Follow the Biden EPA MoneyBy the author name James Varney
Newsom’s Wife Recently Partnered With Pro-Transgender Athlete GroupBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Americans Are in Love With the Idea of Cutting Government SpendingBy the author name Harry Enten
Vibe Shift: White House Says Stock Market ‘Not Driving Force’By the author name Philip Wegmann
Democrats Look Silly and Their Numbers Are Really TankingBy the author name Mark Penn
Trump Addresses Joint Session as Dems Protest His ‘Common-Sense Revolution’By the author name Philip Wegmann
Slotkin: America Needs ‘Responsible,’ Not ‘Reckless’ ChangeBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Steep Increases in Energy Bills Fuel Backlash to Green AgendaBy the author name Susan Ferrechio
Chicago Poll: 80% Disapprove of Mayor Johnson, Crime Top IssueBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
2024 and Harris' Defeat: The Recriminations ContinueBy the author name James Antle
The Vice President Has an X HabitBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Voters Are Reevaluating the Democrats, and They Are FallingBy the author name Mark Penn
Birthright Citizenship Likely To Be Resolved by the Supreme CourtBy the author name Paul Thacker
DOGE Bros: Trump and Musk Tell Hannity the 'Bromance' EnduresBy the author name Philip Wegmann
VA, NJ 2025 Gov. Results Likely To Mirror National MoodBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Trump Gets Broad Backing for Illegal Immigration CrackdownBy the author name Terry Jones
'The Realignment': GOP Sen. Hawley To Introduce Pro-Union LegislationBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Gallup: More Democrats Say They Would Like Party To Be More ModerateBy the author name Megan Brenan
Scott Presler Keeps His Foot on the Pedal in PennsylvaniaBy the author name Salena Zito
Exclusive: RealClearOpinion Poll, A 2024 Election PostmortemBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Trump Has Positive Job Approval Amid 'Energetic' Opening WeeksBy the author name Salvanto, et al.
'I Don't Care, Margaret': JD Vance's MAGA Mic Drop MomentBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Exclusive: New Jersey Gubernatorial Republican Primary PollBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
What Is Behind the Simmering Information War on PollingBy the author name Salena Zito
Democrats Are in Trouble, and They Face Hard Choices AheadBy the author name Dan Balz
A Massive Shift to the Right Over Last Decade on Immigration ViewsBy the author name Harry Enten
The Enduring "c"onservative MajorityBy the author name Sean Trende
Trump More Popular Now Than Ever BeforeBy the author name Jonathan Draeger
Behind-the-Scenes Aide Narrates Trump's Day One Executive ActionsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Battle Lines Drawn on Trump's Border CrackdownBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Los Angeles Fires Fuel Petitions Against California Officials By the author name Jonathan Draeger
The Second Era of Trump BeginsBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Inauguration Day Spotlights America's Perpetual PromiseBy the author name Bret Baier
'Don't Know' and 'Nobody' Are the Dem FrontrunnersBy the author name David Paleologos
Senate Democrats Fail To Rattle HegsethBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Wildfires Put Spotlight on CA Water Policies, Inept PreparationBy the author name Susan Crabtree
Trump Calls Fetterman Impressive After Meeting By the author name Salena Zito
This Is Not Going To Be a Time of Resistance Like It Was in 2017By the author name Donna Brazile
On the March, School Choice Takes Its Fight From Red, Right to BlueBy the author name Vince Bielski
Dems Are Still Squabbling Over Lessons From Harris DefeatBy the author name Emily Ngo
A Now-Viral Encounter That May Come To Define Bass' MayoraltyBy the author name Julia Wick
Panama Canal Fixation Isn't New, and It's Not Just Trump's - PhilipBy the author name Philip Wegmann
Every Week
The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.