What Do Wages in Online Job Postings Tell Us about Wage Growth?

49 Pages Posted: 19 May 2023 Last revised: 22 Dec 2023

See all articles by Pawel Adrjan

Pawel Adrjan

Indeed.com; University of Oxford, Regent's Park College

Reamonn Lydon

Central Bank of Ireland

Date Written: May 16, 2023

Abstract

We use data from millions of online job postings to construct monthly estimates of annual growth in advertised wages in the US, UK, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, and Spain from 2019 to 2022. The resulting wage growth tracker is a source of timely and forward-looking data on the wages of the marginal worker and serves as a useful leading indicator of momentum in wage dynamics. We show that the online job postings data benchmarks well against official sources on job vacancies, new hires, and wage levels. In both Europe and the US, growth in advertised wages accelerated sharply after the pandemic. Granular data shows a heterogeneous pattern of post-pandemic wage growth, with lower-paid jobs experiencing stronger wage growth in most of the countries in our sample. We attribute this to stronger labor demand for certain jobs.

Keywords: wages, vacancies, online job postings

JEL Classification: J31, J63, E31

Suggested Citation

Adrjan, Pawel and Lydon, Reamonn P, What Do Wages in Online Job Postings Tell Us about Wage Growth? (May 16, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4451751 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4451751

Pawel Adrjan

Indeed.com ( email )

University of Oxford, Regent's Park College ( email )

Mansfield Road
Oxford, Oxfordshire OX1 4AU
United Kingdom

Reamonn P Lydon (Contact Author)

Central Bank of Ireland ( email )

P.O. Box 559
Dame Street
Dublin, 2
Ireland

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