2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein(2-Way)
Battlegrounds: Arizona | Nevada | Wisconsin | Michigan | Pennsylvania | N.C. | Georgia
This Day In History: October 30, 2020: Biden +7.9 | October 30, 2016: Clinton +4.3
| pollster | date | Trump (R) | Biden (D) * | Kennedy (I) | Stein (G) | West (I) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 6/28 - 7/21 | 43.4 | 39.2 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | Trump+4.2 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/19 - 7/21 | 44 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 7/19 - 7/21 | 46 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 2 | Trump+9 |
| Emerson | 7/15 - 7/16 | 44 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/13 - 7/16 | 43 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 7/9 - 7/10 | 43 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 3 | Trump+1 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/7 - 7/11 | 46 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| FOX News | 7/7 - 7/10 | 44 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| NBC News | 7/7 - 7/9 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 7/5 - 7/9 | 43 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Trump+1 |
| Wall Street Journal* | 6/29 - 7/2 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | Trump+6 |
| NY Times/Siena* | 6/28 - 7/2 | 42 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 1 | Trump+5 |
| CBS News | 6/28 - 7/2 | 44 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 2 | Trump+4 |
2024 Post-Election Polling Analysis
Why Many Were Correct in Thinking Trump Would Run Away With Electoral College Ken Bensinger & Kaleigh Rogers, New York Times
How America’s Accurate Election Polls Were Suppressed in Front of the Election Matt Tabblit, Racket News
What is Behind the Simmering Information War on Polling Salena Zito, Washington Examiner
Poll Data
| pollster | date | Trump (R) | Biden (D) * | Kennedy (I) | Stein (G) | West (I) | spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 6/28 - 7/21 | 43.4 | 39.2 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | Trump+4.2 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/19 - 7/21 | 44 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 7/19 - 7/21 | 46 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 2 | Trump+9 |
| Emerson | 7/15 - 7/16 | 44 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/13 - 7/16 | 43 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 7/13 - 7/15 | 43 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 2 | Trump+4 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 7/9 - 7/10 | 43 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 3 | Trump+1 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 7/7 - 7/11 | 46 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| FOX News | 7/7 - 7/10 | 44 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| NBC News | 7/7 - 7/9 | 40 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 7/7 - 7/9 | 43 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| Emerson | 7/7 - 7/8 | 44 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Trump+4 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 7/5 - 7/9 | 43 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Trump+1 |
| Wall Street Journal* | 6/29 - 7/2 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 2 | Trump+6 |
| NY Times/Siena* | 6/28 - 7/2 | 42 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 1 | Trump+5 |
| CBS News | 6/28 - 7/2 | 44 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 2 | Trump+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 6/30 - 7/2 | 42 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Harvard-Harris | 6/28 - 6/30 | 46 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 2 | Trump+8 |
| CNN* | 6/28 - 6/30 | 41 | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | Trump+6 |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 6/28 - 6/30 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 6/28 - 6/30 | 42 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| I&I/TIPP | 6/26 - 6/28 | 39 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 2 | Biden+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 6/23 - 6/25 | 42 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| NY Times/Siena | 6/20 - 6/25 | 40 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | Trump+3 |
| Quinnipiac* | 6/20 - 6/24 | 43 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 2 | Trump+6 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 6/20 - 6/20 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 2 | Trump+10 |
| Economist/YouGov | 6/16 - 6/18 | 42 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Tie |
| FOX News | 6/14 - 6/17 | 42 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 2 | Biden+1 |
| New York Post | 6/11 - 6/14 | 39 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Biden+2 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist* | 6/10 - 6/12 | 42 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 3 | Trump+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 6/9 - 6/11 | 42 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Emerson | 6/4 - 6/5 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| Yahoo News* | 6/3 - 6/6 | 43 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 6/2 - 6/4 | 42 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Tie |
| I&I/TIPP | 5/29 - 5/31 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Tie |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 5/30 - 5/31 | 43 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 2 | Trump+2 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 5/28 - 5/30 | 44 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Trump+5 |
| Economist/YouGov | 5/25 - 5/28 | 41 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Emerson | 5/21 - 5/23 | 44 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Trump+5 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 5/21 - 5/23 | 44 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 2 | Trump+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 5/19 - 5/21 | 41 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Quinnipiac | 5/16 - 5/20 | 38 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 2 | Biden+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 5/12 - 5/14 | 42 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| FOX News | 5/10 - 5/13 | 43 | 40 | 11 | 2 | 2 | Trump+3 |
| Marquette | 5/6 - 5/15 | 40 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 3 | Trump+3 |
| Economist/YouGov | 5/5 - 5/7 | 43 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Tie |
| I&I/TIPP | 5/1 - 5/3 | 38 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 1 | Biden+1 |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 4/30 - 5/3 | 37 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | Tie |
| Rasmussen Reports | 4/29 - 5/1 | 48 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Trump+12 |
| Economist/YouGov | 4/28 - 4/30 | 44 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| ABC News/Ipsos | 4/25 - 4/30 | 42 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 2 | Tie |
| Harvard-Harris | 4/24 - 4/25 | 46 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 2 | Trump+7 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 4/22 - 4/25 | 42 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 2 | Tie |
| Economist/YouGov | 4/21 - 4/23 | 43 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Tie |
| CNN | 4/18 - 4/23 | 42 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 4 | Trump+9 |
| Quinnipiac | 4/18 - 4/22 | 37 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 3 | Tie |
| Marist | 4/16 - 4/18 | 38 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 2 | Biden+5 |
| Emerson | 4/16 - 4/17 | 44 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | Trump+4 |
| Economist/YouGov | 4/14 - 4/16 | 44 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Tie |
| NBC News | 4/12 - 4/16 | 37 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 3 | Biden+2 |
| NY Times/Siena | 4/7 - 4/11 | 43 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Economist/YouGov | 4/6 - 4/9 | 43 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| I&I/TIPP | 4/3 - 4/5 | 38 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 2 | Tie |
| Emerson | 4/2 - 4/3 | 43 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 3/31 - 4/2 | 45 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 2 | Trump+7 |
| Economist/YouGov | 3/30 - 4/2 | 43 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Tie |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 3/29 - 3/31 | 43 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 2 | Trump+3 |
| Data for Progress (D)** | 3/27 - 3/29 | 42 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Trump+1 |
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 3/25 - 3/28 | 41 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 1 | Biden+2 |
| Economist/YouGov | 3/24 - 3/26 | 44 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Trump+1 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 3/25 - 3/25 | 42 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 2 | Trump+2 |
| FOX News | 3/22 - 3/25 | 43 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| Quinnipiac | 3/21 - 3/25 | 39 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 3 | Trump+1 |
| Marquette | 3/18 - 3/28 | 41 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 5 | Trump+3 |
| Harvard-Harris | 3/20 - 3/21 | 43 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| Economist/YouGov | 3/16 - 3/19 | 43 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Biden+1 |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 3/8 - 3/11 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Trump+2 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 3/8 - 3/10 | 44 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 2 | Trump+6 |
| Emerson | 3/5 - 3/6 | 43 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Trump+1 |
| I&I/TIPP | 2/28 - 3/1 | 38 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 2 | Tie |
| FOX News | 2/25 - 2/28 | 41 | 38 | 13 | 2 | 3 | Trump+3 |
| Forbes/HarrisX | 2/24 - 2/28 | 43 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 3 | Trump+5 |
| Harvard-Harris | 2/21 - 2/22 | 44 | 36 | 17 | 1 | 2 | Trump+8 |
| HarrisX** | 2/20 - 2/22 | 42 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 3 | Trump+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 2/15 - 2/19 | 37 | 38 | 15 | 3 | 3 | Biden+1 |
| HarrisX** | 2/12 - 2/16 | 44 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 3 | Trump+8 |
| Emerson | 2/13 - 2/14 | 40 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Marquette | 2/5 - 2/15 | 42 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 3 | Trump+3 |
| Emerson | 1/26 - 1/29 | 41 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 1 | Trump+2 |
| Quinnipiac | 1/25 - 1/29 | 37 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 3 | Biden+2 |
| The Messenger/HarrisX | 1/17 - 1/21 | 45 | 36 | 14 | 3 | 2 | Trump+9 |
| Harvard-Harris | 1/17 - 1/18 | 44 | 33 | 18 | 2 | 3 | Trump+11 |
| The Messenger/HarrisX | 1/16 - 1/17 | 43 | 40 | 12 | 2 | 2 | Trump+3 |
| Quinnipiac | 12/14 - 12/18 | 38 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 3 | Trump+2 |
| Harvard-Harris | 12/13 - 12/14 | 43 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 2 | Trump+8 |
| FOX News | 12/10 - 12/13 | 41 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 2 | Trump+4 |
| Emerson | 12/4 - 12/6 | 43 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| I&I/TIPP | 11/30 - 12/1 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 2 | Trump+5 |
| Emerson | 11/17 - 11/20 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 1 | Trump+6 |
| Harvard-Harris | 11/15 - 11/16 | 43 | 34 | 18 | 2 | 3 | Trump+9 |
| FOX News | 11/10 - 11/13 | 41 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 3 | Trump+6 |
| Quinnipiac | 11/9 - 11/13 | 38 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 3 | Trump+3 |
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The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.